TAG

# Anthropic

2026-08-05

Why Is Google Guaranteeing $43.8B of Other People's Data Center Rent? TPU Operators Borrow at 7.1%, Nvidia's at 9.3%

There's a number in Alphabet's Q2 2026 10-Q: as of June 30, Google had committed to cover up to $43.8 billion in third-party data center lease payments if tenants default. Nine months earlier that figure was $6.5 billion — a sevenfold increase. None of those data centers are Google's. What the guarantee buys is very concrete: with Alphabet standing behind them, operators running Google TPUs borrow at 7.1% while comparable projects in Nvidia's ecosystem pay 9.3% — a structural 2.2-point gap. At the other end of the chain sits Anthropic: run-rate revenue just past $30 billion, up from about $9 billion at the end of 2025, but with no credit rating and no way to borrow at this scale on its own. In between stand Morgan Stanley's Compute SPV, Broadcom as residual-value guarantor, and crypto miners supplying grid power. This piece takes apart how the machine works, why Google would rather keep $43.8B of exposure off its balance sheet, and the path the risk travels back.

2026-07-31

Same Day: Microsoft Added $450 Billion in Market Cap, Meta's Free Cash Flow Fell to $784 Million

On July 30, Microsoft rose 15.63% and added roughly $450 billion in market value in a single day, the largest one-day gain in US market history, past Nvidia's $441 billion on April 9, 2025. Meta fell 9% the same day. Both had reported the night before, both grew revenue, and Meta grew faster. The difference was somewhere else: Microsoft cut its calendar 2026 capex guidance from the roughly $190 billion it gave in April to about $175 billion, while Azure growth accelerated from 40% to 43%. Meta raised its full-year capex guidance to $130–145 billion and reported $784 million in free cash flow. This piece breaks down where that $15 billion came from, which part is efficiency and which part is accounting treatment, and what it means for product managers that Microsoft holds 27% of OpenAI and also put $5 billion into Anthropic.